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• 000 02313cam a2200373 i 4500

• 001 0000836428

• 003 OCoLC

• 005 20250907195200.0

• 008 190410s2019 sz 000 0 eng d

• 020 __ |a 9783030114930 |q paperback

• 020 __ |a 3030114937 |q paperback

• 020 __ |z 9783030114947

• 020 __ |z 3030114945

• 035 __ |a (OCoLC)1099768392 |z (OCoLC)1098173529 |z (OCoLC)1103562855 |z (OCoLC)1104710822

• 040 __ |a UPM |b eng |e rda |c UPM |d GW5XE |d OCLCO |d OCLCF |d FIE |d EBLCP |d OH1

• 050 _4 |a HC85

• 082 04 |a 333 |2 23

• 090 __ |a F416.22/X1

• 093 __ |a F416.22 |2 5

• 100 1_ |a Muradov, Adalat, |e author.

• 245 10 |a World market price of oil : |b impacting factors and forecasting / |c by Adalat Muradov, Yadulla Hasanli, Nazim Hajiyev.

• 260 __ |a Cham : |b Springer, |c 2019.

• 300 __ |a 202 pages ; |c 24 cm.

• 336 __ |a text |b txt |2 rdacontent

• 337 __ |a unmediated |b n |2 rdamedia

• 338 __ |a volume |b nc |2 rdacarrier

• 490 1_ |a SpringerBriefs in Economics, |x 2191-5504

• 504 __ |a Includes bibliographical references.

• 520 __ |a This book develops new econometric models to analyze and forecast the world market price of oil. The authors construct ARIMA and Trend models to forecast oil prices, taking into consideration outside factors such as political turmoil and solar activity on the price of oil. Incorporating historical and contemporary market trends, the authors are able to make medium and long-term forecasting results. In the first chapter, the authors perform a broad spectrum analysis of the theoretical and methodological challenges of oil price forecasting. In the second chapter, the authors build and test the econometric models needed for the forecasts. The final chapter of the text brings together the conclusions they reached through applying the models to their research. This book will be useful to students in economics, particularly those in upper-level courses on forecasting and econometrics as well as to politicians and policy makers in oil-producing countries, oil importing countries, and relevant international organizations.

• 650 _0 |a Petroleum products |x Prices |x Forecasting.

• 650 _0 |a Petroleum industry and trade |x Forecasting.

• 650 _0 |a Box-Jenkins forecasting.

• 700 1_ |a Hasanli, Yadulla, |e author.

• 700 1_ |a Hajiyev, Nazim, |e author.