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题名/责任者:

World market price of oil : impacting factors and forecasting / by Adalat Muradov, Yadulla Hasanli, Nazim Hajiyev.

出版发行项:

Cham : Springer, 2019.

ISBN:

9783030114930

ISBN:

3030114937

载体形态项:

202 pages ; 24 cm.

丛编说明:

SpringerBriefs in Economics, 2191-5504

个人责任者:

Muradov, Adalat, author.

附加个人名称:

Hasanli, Yadulla, author.

附加个人名称:

Hajiyev, Nazim, author.

论题主题:

Petroleum products-Prices-Forecasting.

论题主题:

Petroleum industry and trade-Forecasting.

论题主题:

Box-Jenkins forecasting.

中图法分类号:

F416.22

书目附注:

Includes bibliographical references.

摘要附注:

This book develops new econometric models to analyze and forecast the world market price of oil. The authors construct ARIMA and Trend models to forecast oil prices, taking into consideration outside factors such as political turmoil and solar activity on the price of oil. Incorporating historical and contemporary market trends, the authors are able to make medium and long-term forecasting results. In the first chapter, the authors perform a broad spectrum analysis of the theoretical and methodological challenges of oil price forecasting. In the second chapter, the authors build and test the econometric models needed for the forecasts. The final chapter of the text brings together the conclusions they reached through applying the models to their research. This book will be useful to students in economics, particularly those in upper-level courses on forecasting and econometrics as well as to politicians and policy makers in oil-producing countries, oil importing countries, and relevant international organizations.

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